1．标题：农地制度、劳动力迁移决策及其工资变动――基于“收入补充论”的分析框架作者：唐茂华 黄少安

【摘要】均分化的农地制度安排使中国劳动力迁移决策是将进入工资经济作为农地经营的一种额外补充，而非替代。基于这种“收入补充论”的分析框架，本论文认为农地制度对劳动力迁移的主要影响有三：（1）农地制度赋予的经济价值是中国低工资型式得以形成并长期存在的重要原因。（2）尽管均分化农地制度减少了“受迫型”劳动力迁移的激励，但生产的道德增加了“自主型”劳动力迁移的动机，从而促进了劳动力迁移。（3）但这种劳动力迁移是不完全的，强化了农村家庭结构的城乡分割，这有碍于中国城乡二元结构的消解和经济社会的长远发展。为此，关键在于消除农地的价值二元性，具体包括农地制度创新，赋予农民更完整的土地权利；提高农民组织化程度，促进农业专业合作组织的发展；对农户退出农地经营进行替代性收入补偿，促进农地流转。

【关键词】农地制度 劳动力迁移 “收入补充论”

中图分类号：F30 文献标识码：A

2．标题：中国农村经济制度变迁、农业生产绩效与动态演进――基于1978-2005年省际面板数据的DEA实证

作者：李谷成

【摘要】制度对于经济增长而言是重要的。论文将省级农业系统视为生产单元，利用1978-2005年面板数据和数据包络分析方法，对影响农业生产绩效的农村主要经济制度变迁因素进行理论与经验两方面的分析。分析发现，农业生产绩效变动的背后有着极其深刻的制度原因。家庭联产承包责任制、农产品价格体制改革、农村工业化与城市化进程、农村税费改革和加入世界贸易组织、政府农业公共支出变迁等诸多制度因素都是影响农业生产绩效的重要变量，而且他们在不同时间阶段发挥着不同的作用。论文还发现农业全要素生产率增长主要体现为“增长效应”，“水平效应”有限，且省际差异明显。论文最终认为，农业发展除了实现持续的技术进步外，应努力从制度创新上寻找提高生产绩效的突破口。这特别需要从制度安排上保证给予农民以“国民待遇”和农业以平等的发展机会，实现起始机会的公平。

【关键词】制度变迁 生产绩效 农业 全要素生产率 数据包络分析

中图分类号：F019，F06 文献标识码：A

3．标题：铸币税、币值动态与货币体系的稳定性：来自货币史的经验

作者：石莹 赵建

【摘要】占据货币史最长时间的铸币经济具有独特的铸币行为和货币需求函数，这决定着其特有的币值动态路径。本文通过观察铸币经济表现出来的历史特征，构建了一个铸币模型，分析铸币当局在面对公众货币需求约束，追求铸币税最大化下所决定的实际币值的动态路径，发现最终的稳态实际币值由公众货币需求函数的相关参数决定，这说明铸币经济的稳定在很大程度上取决于经济个体的货币需求结构，这在另一方面证明货币制度演变的内生性。本文引用货币史上的相关数据来验证模型的结论，并对货币制度的演变进行了拓展性的分析，发现忽视公众货币需求约束，镶嵌在铸币经济中的盲目纸币化只能导致货币体系的崩溃。

【关键词】铸币需求函数 实际币值 货币稳定性

中图分类号：F726 F820.9 文献标示码：A

4.标题：掠夺行为、产权保护与经济增长

作者：王勋 余静文

【摘要】本文在一个内生增长模型的框架下分析了经济中的掠夺行为和政府的产权保护对经济增长的影响。我们发现，经济中掠夺性家户的比例及生产性家户最优的生产和保护时间取决于政府的产权保护力度，而与时间无关。政府加大产权保护力度会减少经济中的掠夺活动。同时，知识生产函数规模收益递减、不变和递增的性质使得政府的产权保护对经济的均衡增长路径以及均衡增长路径上人均产出的增长率有不同的影响。

【关键词】掠夺行为；保护；产权；经济增长；均衡增长路径

中图分类号：F061.2 文献标识码: A

5．标题：地方政府规制、企业家能力与地区经济发展

作者：曹会勤 储小平

【摘要】本文把企业家视为政府规制与地区经济发展间的转换器，通过引入企业家的生产性努力、非生产性努力、企业家的生产能力、政治关系能力等概念，对我国地方政府规制与地区经济的活力和发展之间的关系进行解释。本文认为，地方政府规制的完善程度对企业家分配自身的努力水平有着重要的影响，对企业家能力的发挥和发展方向也起着一定的作用。不同的政府规制水平使地区企业家资源的配置产生差异，从而使地区的经济发展呈现出不同的特点。

【关键词】地方政府规制 企业家能力 政治关系能力

中图分类号：F063.1 文献标识码：A

6．标题：产权结构与投资增长内在耦合演进关系的实证研究――以我国辽宁省为例

作者：李怀 高磊

【摘要】本文从理论推理和实证检验（以辽宁省为例）均证明产权结构和投资增长的互动演进特征是复杂的“长期滞后型”耦合（长期协调过程），在演进初期两者互相产生负作用力，而一旦出现交叉正效应后，即投资增长对产权结构的演进具有一定的正推力，特别是产权结构演进对投资增长的正作用力相当持久，即一旦产权制度效率真正发挥出来，那么这种制度效率期相当持久。因此制度任务是缩短两者初期的动荡调整时滞和减弱初期的负效应，降低制度变迁成本。另外，实证结果表明非公有制经济的比重越大，投资持续增长趋势越稳定。

【关键词】产权结构 投资增长 耦合

中图分类号：F061.2 文献标识码：A

7．标题：制度转型、组织结构与企业绩效：一个新制度主义分析框架

作者：高向飞 王相敏

【摘要】制度转型与组织行为的相关研究主要集中于非正式制度对企业绩效的影响分析，而正式制度和制度实施的作用机制研究仍停留在战略选择层面，尚未延伸至企业绩效。本文基于制度转型――战略选择分析框架，通过引入组织结构作为连接战略选择与企业绩效的中介变量，尝试构建制度转型――企业绩效分析框架。综合新制度主义经济观和社会观的理论思想，我们从宏观和微观两个层面对关系绩效进行了公式化定义，并将其应用于上述分析框架中，以考察制度转型初期企业绩效的变化趋势。分析结果显示：正式制度和制度实施均与企业绩效呈先上升后下降的倒U型曲线关系；关系主导型战略仅在转型初期具有效率基础，难以长期促成高水平的企业绩效。

【关键词】制度转型；组织结构；企业绩效

中图分类号：F27 文献标识码：A

8．标题：基于心理契约的农地流转研究

作者：洪名勇 王晓娟

【摘要】心理契约是指“存在交换关系的双方基于各种形式（书面的、口头的）的承诺对双方权利和义务的一种主观理解”，也就是说只要存在交换关系，那么无论制度环境如何变化都会存在双方心理契约。以贵州省湄潭县和山西省浑源县124户流转农户作为调查对象分析农户心理契约，并运用因素分析将农户心理契约影响因素提取出三个因子，分别为流转对象背景、民族习俗和流转租金参与状况，指出这三个因子与农户心理契约的形成呈正相关，中国农户流转行为中的心理契约可以分为三种类型：交易型心理契约、发展型心理契约和关系型心理契约。多元计量模型分析表明，三种心理契约对农地流转效率都有积极的影响，其中关系型心理契约对流转效率影响最大，其次是交易型心理契约，最后是发展型心理契约。

【关键词】农地流转 心理契约 农地流转效率

中图分类号：F301.1 文献标识码：A

9．标题：威慑效应的理论与实证研究：过去、现在与未来

作者：陈屹立 陈刚

【摘要】威慑理论在古典犯罪学派那里被开创，之后经历了很长时间的沉默，到犯罪经济学那里才被复兴。此后，威慑理论得到了长足的发展。尤其在实证研究方面，范围大大拓展。对威慑理论现有发展的总结可以看到它的不足，但是威慑理论还有很大的发展空间和前景，其未来充满挑战和期待。

【关键词】威慑效应 实证研究 最优惩罚

中图分类号：F063.1 文献标识码：A

10．标题：激励相容视角下银行监管机制设计：研究综述和展望

作者：江曙霞 何建勇

【摘要】本文从激励相容的视角，对银行监管理论的已有成果进行了梳理：先是从保护存款人利益的角度，考察对政府银行监管必要性的争论；接着总结了激励相容理论的主要思想，并提出银行监管理论新的分析范式；在此基础上，围绕如何设计激励相容的银行监管机制，从其基本内容即资本监管、监督检查银行、市场约束和存款保险制度等方面进行文献回顾，最后就是否存在最优的银行监管体制进行评价。

【关键词】激励相容，存款人利益，银行监管机制

中图分类号：F830.33 文献标识码：A

11．标题：家庭时间分配与教堂出席

作者：考瑞∙阿兹（Corry Azzi） 罗纳德∙艾仁伯格（Ronald Ehrenberg）

译校者：张志鹏 译 张清津 校

【摘要】本文是首次由经济学家来系统地分析个体参与宗教活动的决定因素。本文建立了家庭多个时期的效用最大化模型，在其含义中包含了家庭宗教参与盛衰变化的具体表现以及丈夫与妻子在宗教参与上的分工。该理论通过应用全国性的教会成员数据和关于个人出席教堂频率的调查数据进行了经验型检验。文章最后讨论了模型的几个扩展，以及它可能会促生的几个可检验的假说。

【关键词】来世消费，教会出席，时间分配

中图分类号：F069.9 文献标识码：A

1. Title: Land Tenure System, Labor Transfer Decision And Wage’s Change：A Framework Of “Income Complement Theory”

Author(s):Tang Maohua Huang Shaoan

【Abstract】Under the background of average land system arrangement, Chinese labor transfer decision put entering wage economy as a complement of farmland management, but not a substitution. On the base of the analysis frame of income complement theory, the author argues that the impacts of farmland system on labor transfer mainly include three aspects as following. (a) The economic value endowed by farmland system becomes a significant reason, which makes the low wage mode come into being and exists for a long time inChina. (b) The average farmland system reduces incentive force of “being compelled” labor transfer, but manufacturing morality increases the incentive of “self-determination” labor transfer that consequently promotes the labor transfer. (c) However, this kind of labor transfer is incomplete and it enforces urban-rural division of rural family structure, which impede the dissolution of Chinese urban-rural duality system and long-range development of economy and society. Hence, the key is to avoid the duality of land value, which includes innovation of farmland system, authorizing farmer the more complete land right, enhancing the grade of farmer systematization to advance the development of agricultural professional cooperating organization, giving the farmer substituting income complement after quitting farmland management, accelerating the farmland flow.

【Keywords】Land tenure system; Labor Transfer; Income Complement Theory

JEL Classifications: Q15 J61

2. Title: The Changes of Rural Institutions, Agricultural Production Performances and its Dynamic Evolutions: A DEA Analysis based on the Provincial Panel Data (1978-2005) inChina

Author(s):Li Gucheng

【Abstract】The institutional change is important to the economic growth. By using the Data Envelopment Analysis approach and the provincial panel data from 1978 to 2005, this paper treats the agricultural production system in a certain province as a Decision Making Unit (DMU) and analyses the effects of the major institution changes on the agricultural production performances from the theoretical and empirical aspects. The finding of our research indicates that, the effects of institutional changes on agricultural production performances are profound. Taking theHouseholdResponsibility System (HRS), the reform of agricultural products pricing system, the process of rural industrialization and urbanization, the reform of rural taxes and administrative charges, the entry into the World Trade Organization (WTO), and the changes of agricultural finical expenditures for example, these transformations of institution play an important role in the agricultural production performances’ changes after China’s reform and opening up, and these impacts vary in the different phases. Also, the survey shows that the “growth effect” has greatly contributed to the growth of agricultural Total Factor Productivity (TFP) compared with the insufficiencyof “catching effect”, and diversities exist among the growth of TFP in each province. Besides the sustaining technological progress, the innovation of institutions is the main way to realize the improvement of production performances. Especially, based on the institutional arrangement, the authority must provide developing chances to the farmers and the agricultural sector as the others equally.

【Key Words】Institution Change; Production Performance; Agriculture; Total Factor Productivity; Data Envelopment Analysis

JEL Classifications:R11 Q19 O47

3. Title: Seigniorage, Dynamic of Coinage Value and Stability of Monetary System: Evidences from Money History

Author(s): Shi Ying Zhao Jian

【Abstract】Coinage economy, playing a long role in money history, is characteristic of special monetary behavior and money demand function, which determines a special dynamical path of money value. Drawing aspiration from the history character of coinage history, this paper builds a coinage model to analyze the dynamic path of substantive value determined by the optimal behavior of monetary authority under the constrain of individual money demand. We found the equilibrium money value is developed by the structure of money demand, which shows in another way the endogenous evolvement of monetary institutions. We use data in money history to validate the proposition of our model and analyze the evolvement of monetary institutions, finding that issuing fiat money in coinage economy ignoring the constrain of individual money function led to the collapse of monetary system.

【Key words】coinage demand function substantive coinage value monetary stability

JEL Classification:E41 E42

4. Title: Predation, Protection of Property Rights and Economic Growth

Author(s):Wang Xun Yu Jingwen

【Abstract】This paper develops an endogenous growth model to analyze predatory activities and the influence on economic growth due to government’s protection to property right. We find that the ratio of the predatory household and the productive household’s optimal production time depend on government’s protection and will not change with time. Better government’s protection will cause less predation. Meanwhile, different kinds of returns to scale of the production function for knowledge make the government’s protection have different influences on the balanced growth path and the growth rate of output per person on the balanced growth path.

【Keywords】Predation, Protection, Property Rights, Balanced Growth Path, Economic Growth.

JEL classifications: E23; O41; P14

5. Title: The Impact of Local Government Regulation on Local Economic Development

Author(s):Cao Huiqin ChuXiaoping

【Abstract】At present, local government regulation plays a significant role in local economic development. Based on the several concepts about entrepreneur which named productive efforts, unproductive efforts, entrepreneurial competence and the ability of building political relationship, this paper tries to interpret the relationship between local government regulation and local economic development. This paper studies the relationship between local government regulation and entrepreneurial innovation capabilities through symbolic logic. The analysis shows that the regulation has a vital effect on the development of entrepreneurial innovation capabilities.

【Keywords】Local Government Regulation Entrepreneurial Competence

Political connections

JEL Classification: D23 O17 P21

6. Title: The Empirical Study of their internal coupling and evolutionary relationship between the Structure of Property Rights and Investment Growth：Taking Liaoning Province as Example

Author(s): Li Huai Gao Lei

[Abstract] TakingLiaoningProvinceas Example,this paper proves the interactive feature of investment growth and the structure of property rights is a complex, long-term lag coupling course, which is also a long-term coordination process. In the early evolution, their interactive negative effects appear. Once eventually the positive cross-effects appear, the investment growth produces positive thrust to the evolution of property rights structure. Especially the more prominent contribution of the evolutionary property rights structure to the increasing investment is significant. Once the property rights institution really work, the efficiency of this institutional structure will last a considerable long period. Therefore the institutional task is to shorten their initial adjustment and to weaken the initial negative effect with reducing the institution cost. In addition, empirical results show that the greater the proportion of non-public economy occurs, the more stable investment increase.

[Key Words] theStructure of Property Rights Investment Growth Coupling Course

JEL Classifications：E02 O16

7. Title: Institutional Transition, Organizational Structure and Firm Performance: A New Institutionalism Framework

Author(s):Gao Xiangfei Wang Xiangmin

【Abstract】The studies about institutional transition and organizational behaviors focus on the relationship between informal institution and firm performance. Influences of Formal institution and institution enforcement are just on strategic choice level, not extending to firm performance. This paper based on institutional transition-strategic choice framework, which is created by Peng on 2003, tries to build institution transition-firm performance framework by introducing organizational structure, which functions as a bridge between strategic choice and firm performance. Integrating the approaches of new institutionalism perspectives, we define the relational performance both from macro-level and micro-level, and put them into the analysis framework constructed above, so as to investigating the variations of firm performance at the initial stage of institutional transition. It comes to the conclusion that the relationship between formal institution and firm performance is an inverse U-curve, so does the institution enforcement; Network-centered strategy is merely effective in the initial phase of transition and can not facilitate firm performance over the long term.

【Keywords】Institutional Transition, Organizational Structure, Firm Performance

JEL Classifications：B52, D23, L14

8. Title: OnResearchLandCirculation in Psychological Contract

Author(s):Hong Mingyong Wang Xiaojuan

【Abstract】The psychological contract refers to that“A kind of subjective understanding on the bases of various forms of commitment on Rights and obligations of both sides of the exchange relationship” That is to say, once there is relationship of exchanging, there will be psychological contract of both sides whatever how the system environment changed.this text circulates 124 peasant households in GUIZHOU MEITAN and SHANXI HUNYUANas the respondent to analyze peasant household's psychological contract. Using factor analysis to extract three factors from all the Peasant household's psychological contract influence factors. They are the background of circulate target's, national customs and the state of participation of circulation of capital. We find that there are positive correlation between the three factors and peasant household's psychological contract. When we combine theory knowledge andChina's concrete national conditions analysis, we find that the psychological contract can be divided into three types: Trade type, development type and relationship type.

【Keyword】land circulation Psychological contract efficiency of land circulation

JEL Classification：O13 Q15 Q10

9. Title：The Theoretical and Empirical Studies on Deterrent Theory: Past, Now and Future

Author(s): Chen Yili and Chen Gang

【Abstract】The deterrent theory is founded in classical crime school. Afterward it has experienced a very long time silence and then revived in economics of crime. The theoretical and empirical studies of deterrent theory have received great progress. Through the review of current research of deterrent theory we can find out some field waiting for improvement. But the deterrence theory has much room for development and its future is full of challenges and expectations.

【Key words】deterrent theory; empirical study; optimal punishment

JEL Classifications: K14

10. Mechanism Design on Banking Regulation and Supervisionfrom Incentive-CompatiblePerspective：Literatures Review and Prospect

Author(s): Jiang Shuxia Hejianyong

【Abstract】From anincentive-compatibleperspective, this paper reviews recent theories on the banking regulation and supervision. Based on protecting the benefit of the depositors, We firstly discuss why need government to regulate the banking; Secondly, we present a new analytic framework on the banking regulation and supervision after summarizing original thought on the incentive compatibility；Then we focus on how to design theincentive-compatible mechanism of thebanking regulation and supervision, that is optimal capital regulation, monitoring, market discipline and deposit insurance system; finally, we comment on whether or not the optimalmechanism of thebanking regulation and supervision is possible.

【Key words】incentive compatibility;the benefit of the depositors;mechanism of thebanking regulation and supervision

JEL Classifications:G32 G38 K22

11. Title: Household Allocation of Time and Church Attendance

Author(s):Corry Azzi Ronald Ehrenberg

Translator(s):Zhang Zhipeng

Corrector(s):Zhang Qingjin

【Abstract】This paper presents the first systematic attempt by economists to analyze the determinants of individuals' participation in religious activities. A multiperiod utility-maximizing model of household behavior is developed which includes among its implications the shape of a house-hold's life-cycle religious-participation profile and the division of religious participation between husband and wife. The theory is empirically tested using statewide church-membership data and survey data on individuals' frequency of church attendance. The paper concludes by discussing several extensions of the model which lead to additional potentially testable hypotheses.

【Key words】Afterlife consumption, Church attendance, Time allocation

JEL Classifications: D01 Z12